Why Josh Johnson Won’t Be Traded

By Richard Janvrin-TRST Senior MLB Analyst Follow Richard on Twitter: @RJanvrin3_TRST

Miami Marlins ace, Josh Johnson has been the subject of a lot of trade rumors recently after the team trading Hanley Ramirez, Omar Infante, Anibal Sanchez, and openly saying he’s available, but only at the right price. That price is steep, and is the main reason they won’t trade “JJ”. The Marlins are reportedly asking for 2 of any teams top 3 prospects, and based on reports, a few teams, like the Blue Jays and Rangers among other are interested.

To pry Josh Johnson away from South Beach, it will reportedly take 3 top prospects.

Take those two teams above, the Rangers and Blue Jays and let’s examine their top 3 prospects.

For the Rangers, according to Baseball America, top 3 prospects are SS Jurickson Profar, SP Martin Perez and 3B Mike Olt.

Profar, 19, is considered by Baseball America as the #7 prospect OVERALL. He’s currently in Double-A where he holds a line of .290/.363/.488 with 13 HR and 54 RBIs and 7 triples through 97 games. He’s so young, and so good.

Perez, 21, has seen time in the bigs this year and is ranked #31 according to Baseball America. In Triple-A this season he’s pitched to a 5-5 record with a 4.59 ERA with K’s through 86.1 IP. Not exactly incredible, but he still has loads of potential.

Olt, 23 is ranked as the 43rd best prospect in baseball, and is, in my opinion, a monster. This season at Double-A Frisco, he holds a line of .287/.399/.581 with a .980 OPS (OBP+SLG). Yes, an almost .400 OBP, incredible. Not to mention, his 27 HR and 78 RBIs. This is through only 90 games. I am, personally, a huge Olt fan.

If the Rangers were unwilling to part with third base prospect Mike Olt to acquire Cole Hamels to Zack Greinke, it his highly unlikely that they will trade him for Josh Johnson.

So, with that, they’d have to package 2 of those, presumably Olt and Perez and a third prospect who would have to be in the top 10, like Rougned Odor, Leonys Martin or Jorge Alofar. That would be a huge package which I don’t think Jon Daniels would do given Josh Johnson’s inability to stay healthy for a full 162 games. If the Marlins ask for such a package, Daniels will probably throw his phone out of the closest window.

For the Blue Jays, their top 3 prospects, according to, of course, Baseball America are C Travis d’Arnaud, OF Anthony Gose and OF Jake Marsinick.

d’Arnaud, 23, is ranked 17th overall and is one of the best young catching prospects in the game. Through 67 games this year at Triple-A Las Vegas, he has a monstrous line of .333/.380/.595 with 16 HR and 52 RBIs. The Marlins would undoubtedly ask for d’Arnaud.

Even if they were able to acquire a pitcher like Josh Johnson, giving up top catching prospect Travis d’Arnaud may not improve the Jays longterm.

Gose, 21 and ranked #39 in prospect land, who was acquired in a the Roy Halladay trade has seen time at the bigs this year, but has had an impressive Triple-A campaign, like teammate, d’Arnaud. Batting to a line of .292/.375/.432 with 5 HR and 41 RBI, but Gose possesses speed and has 29 through 92 games and had a career high 70 last season for the New Hampshire Fishercats. Many scout say he could develop in to a 5-tool player.

Marisnick, another 21 year old, is again, ranked inside the top 100 prospects at No. 67. According to scouts, his weaknesses are he tries to simply do to much and the power just hasn’t developed yet. The same scout said he needs to physically mature more, but is a great athlete with above average speed. That scout compares him to Torii Hunter. No bad, right?

It would tough for either team to pull the trigger on a Johnson trade. These are just 2 of the many teams interested in the injury proned righty.

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Posted on July 28, 2012, in MLB and tagged , , , , , , , , . Bookmark the permalink. Leave a comment.

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